COUNTER THREAT CENTER

Our Mission:
Detect, Deter, Defeat Terrorism

Our objective is to protect you, your organization, and your personnel against acts of terrorism and critical threats. CTG professionals develop customized services and solutions that will help you Detect, Deter, and Defeat terrorism or other threats that target you, your people, or your assets’ physical security.

THE HARTBEESPOORT DAM IN CRISIS: ECOLOGICAL DETERIORATION AND INSTITUTIONAL FAILURE IN SOUTH AFRICA

Cristiana Harless, Ilias Tzanetoulakos, Martina Guerrero, OSINT-RDT Team Alessandro Portolano, Editor; Jennifer Loy, Chief Editor April 26, 2026 Hartbeespoort Dam, Hartbeespoort, North West Province of South Africa[1] Key judgments Persistent pollution of the Hartbeespoort Dam mainly stems from repeated institutional and political failures. Unenforced legislation, misguided interventions, and fragmented decisionmaking has led to decades of neglect despite

MEXICAN POLICE OFFICERS ALLEGEDLY COLLABORATED WITH CJNG USING ENCRYPTED MESSAGING, AND THE MEXICAN SSC WARNED OF CRIMINAL GROUPS USING FAKE JOB OFFERS ON SOCIAL MEDIA TO TARGET VULNERABLE PEOPLE

April 14-20, 2026 | Issue 16 - NORTHCOM Team Christian Jackson, Dominic Perfetti, Julia Ruiz Redel, Michela Sereno, Noah Clarke, Matthew George, Sharon Preci, Aristide Devevey, Jacob Robison Ben Joshua Gentemann, Editor; Clémence Van Damme, Senior Editor Encrypted Communication[1] Date: April 16, 2026 Location: Manzanillo, Colima State, Mexico Parties involved: Mexico; government; institutions; authorities; law enforcement; police officers; uncompromised officers; subvers

FLASH ALERT: WARNING TO NIGERIAN CIVILIANS, BOKO HARAM FACTION ISSUES 72-HOUR ULTIMATUM TO NIGERIAN GOVERNMENT TO MEET DEMANDS OR EXECUTE 416 CAPTIVES

Sasha Sánchez, Kendall McElwee, Alessandro Portolano, Insa Reblin, Michela Sereno, AFRICOM/CENTCOM Teams Elena Alice Rossetti, Lizel Klaasen, Editor; Jennifer Loy, Chief Editor April 21, 2026 African Insurgents[1] The Counterterrorism Group (CTG) is issuing a FLASH ALERT to civilians in northeastern Nigeria, Nigerian government officials, Borno South Youth Alliance (BOSYA) following a reported ultimatum issued by a Boko Haram faction on April 19, 2026. The group released a v

REPORTEDLY, RUSSIA PLANNED TO INCREASE ITS UNMANNED SYSTEMS FORCES BY 2026, AND ITALY AND GERMANY LAUNCHED AN INVESTIGATION INTO THE TRANSALPINE OIL PIPELINE DISRUPTION AS POSSIBLE SABOTAGE

April 9-15, 2026 | Issue 15 - EUCOM Team Nicola Bonsegna, Jaydn Burgin, Sofía Vilas, Fleur Van Gorp Alexia Andrica, Editor; Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor Drone [1] Date : April 9, 2026 Location : Russia Parties involved : Russia; Unmanned Systems Forces (USF); Russian troops; personnel; Ukraine; Ukrainian Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi; Western allies The event : According to Syrskyi, Russia plans to expand its USF to approximately 165,500 personnel

THREAT CLIMATE ASSESSMENT: IRAN’S AI-DRIVEN INFLUENCE AND CYBER OPERATIONS ARE EXPANDING THE BATTLESPACE INTO US PUBLIC PERCEPTION AND CRITICAL SYSTEMS

Cora Jordan, Bhavya Jain, Antonio De Rosa, Maxime de Crop, Giovanni Lamberti, Amelia Bell, Mackenzie LaCombe, Alexandra Valdez, Sasha Sánchez, Blaise Liess II, Insa Reblin, Ludovica Leccese CENTCOM Team Elizabeth Fignar, Editor; Jennifer Radlinsky, Senior Editor; Jennifer Loy, Chief Editor April 9, 2026 Anonymous User [1] BLUF Iran is escalating its warfare strategy against the US from traditional military signaling and proxy activity toward a technologically integrated c

IN HAITI, CHADIAN TROOPS JOINED A UN ANTI-GANG MISSION, AND IN BRAZIL, A UN RAPPORTEUR PRAISED MIGRATION POLICY BUT URGED COMPLIANCE WITH INTERNATIONAL LAW

April 2-8, 2026 | Issue 14 - SOUTHCOM Team Michela Sereno, Julia Ruiz Redel, Dominic Perfetti, Christian Jackson, Sharon Preci, Matthew George, Noah Clarke Ben Joshua Gentemann, Editor; Clémence Van Damme, Senior Editor Haiti Gang Influence Map: Overview of Port-au-Prince Neighborhoods [1] Date : April 1, 2026 Location : Port-Au-Prince, Haiti Parties involved : Haiti; Haitian government; Haitian National Police; authorities; emergency services; healthcare and emergency

FLASH ALERT: WARNING TO US UNIVERSITIES AND ASSOCIATED INSTITUTIONS AFTER IRGC COMMUNICATED A LIST OF POTENTIAL RETALIATION TARGETS

Sasha Sánchez, Cora Jordan, Amelia Bell, Alexandra Valdez, Ilias Tzanetoulakos, Kendall McElwee, Lizel Klaasen, AFRICOM, CENTCOM Teams Alexia Andrica, Devendra Mahto, Elena Alice Rossetti, Editors; Jennifer Loy, Chief Editor April 7, 2026 US-linked Universities in the Middle East [ 1] The Counterterrorism Group (CTG) is issuing a FLASH ALERT to the university personnel and students of the campuses in Qatar’s Education City (Northwestern University, Georgetown University, C

IN INDIA, DURING AN ELECTION CAMPAIGN, BJP AND TMC SUPPORTERS CLASHED, AND IN AUSTRALIA, POLICE OFFICERS FATALLY SHOT A RUNAWAY SOVEREIGN CITIZENS’ MEMBER

March 26 - April 1, 2026 | Issue 13 - PACOM Team Lucy Gibson, Agathe Labadi, Balraj Rana, Brendan Malcarne, Nimaya Premachandra Devendra Mahto, Editor; Elena Alice Rossetti, Senior Editor Political Rally in India [1] Date : March 26, 2026 Location : South 24 Parganas District, West Bengal State, India Parties involved : Election Commission of India (ECI); Hindu nationalist political party Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP); BJP supporters; Bengali nationalist political party Tri

THREAT CLIMATE ASSESSMENT: EUROPEAN FRAGMENTATION OVER AIRSPACE AND BASE ACCESS LIKELY TO IMPACT US MILITARY LOGISTIC CAPABILITIES

Chiara Michieli, Nicola Bonsegna, Jaydn Burgin, Fleur Van Gorp, Leon Kille EUROPE Team Alexia Andrica, Editor; Jennifer Radlinsky, Senior Editor; Jennifer Loy, Chief Editor April 5, 2026 US Military Transport Aircraft Overflying Continental Europe [1] BLUF Austria [2] and Switzerland [3] have restricted the overflight and base access of US military aircraft involved in the war in the Middle East, as did NATO members Italy, Spain, and France. [4] Restrictions on US access c

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